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Ahmed Balaha
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Solana ($SOL) price has managed an impressive 12% rally from the bottom, but a critical signal threatens to ruin the party.
The rebound occurred quickly, moving SOL away from dangerous levels. However, experienced analysts remain bearish, adding doubt to bullish Solana price predictions.
There’s a lurking indicator that could send everything spiraling back down.
Here’s what every SOL holder needs to know right now.
This sign could ruin everything
Long-term holders are moving away from Solana at the worst possible time. HODLer Net Position Change data shows accumulation slowing dramatically after last week’s sharp pullback.
These savvy investors often provide crucial price support during difficult times. But their conviction seems to be wavering, and that is a huge red flag for sustainability.
The money flow index is approaching oversold levels below 20.0. This usually indicates that sellers are running out.
Solana has only reached oversold levels three times in the last two and a half years. Each time, it led to significant price stabilization or even reversals that caught the bears off guard.
Solana Price Prediction: Will SOL Break Out $70 Support?
Solana is still stuck in a descending channel and has now slipped below that structure towards the $85 to $90 area, which is acting as short-term support for now.
As far as trends go, nothing has really changed. This remains a bearish setup with lower highs and lower lows firmly established.
If this support gives way, the next major bearish level is around $70, which is the last area of strong demand.
The first resistance to look out for is around $100, but the real level that matters is $144. A daily close above $144 would be the sign that the downtrend is likely over and a true bullish reversal is underway.
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